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Qual 122023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red124
10842.2
651727.3
238343.4
Blue78
349234.5
463019.3
239330.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888305010015012478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#10
43.42.5
35.1→37.6
Auto11.1
Teleop24.4
End7.9
red by 9.0
3492
#9
34.50.8
30.8→30.1
Auto12.0
Teleop15.9
End6.5
Second
108
#6
42.22.5
24.6→27.1
Auto11.0
Teleop23.7
End7.4
red by 11.5
2393
#17
30.70.7
29.3→28.6
Auto10.5
Teleop13.5
End6.7
Third
6517
#24
27.34.2
21.9→26.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.2
End7.0
red by 8.0
4630
#30
19.31.1
18.1→17.0
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed