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Qual 162023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red92
32550.0
707217.8
463019.3
Blue49
80133.0
239330.7
651727.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84912040601001201401609249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#4
50.00.5
39.6→40.1
Auto14.6
Teleop28.4
End7.0
red by 17.0
801
#15
33.02.3
29.5→27.2
Auto8.6
Teleop16.9
End7.4
Second
4630
#30
19.30.8
17.0→17.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End5.8
blue by 11.4
2393
#17
30.72.3
28.6→26.3
Auto10.5
Teleop13.5
End6.7
Third
7072
#23
17.80.8
23.2→24.0
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End3.4
blue by 9.5
6517
#24
27.33.9
26.0→22.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed