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Qual 172023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red35
365323.7
430619.4
401319.2
Blue115
10842.2
349234.5
285619.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697920406010012014035115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3653
#29
23.72.1
22.2→20.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.9
End8.1
blue by 18.4
108
#6
42.22.5
27.1→29.6
Auto11.0
Teleop23.7
End7.4
Second
4306
#28
19.43.5
20.9→17.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.5
blue by 15.1
3492
#9
34.52.5
30.1→32.6
Auto12.0
Teleop15.9
End6.5
Third
4013
#27
19.22.1
23.1→21.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.2
End6.8
red by 0.2
2856
#31
19.04.2
15.4→19.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsEarned