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Qual 22023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red106
707217.8
349234.5
382129.1
Blue105
752536.1
173048.5
500516.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6497050150200106105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
#9
34.53.4
27.4→30.8
Auto12.0
Teleop15.9
End6.5
blue by 14.0
1730
#7
48.50.9
39.4→40.3
Auto11.5
Teleop29.3
End7.6
Second
3821
#33
29.14.7
17.8→22.5
Auto10.2
Teleop15.0
End3.9
blue by 7.0
7525
#13
36.10.9
31.8→32.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End9.0
Third
7072
#23
17.84.7
18.9→23.5
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End3.4
red by 1.1
5005
#35
16.61.5
15.3→16.8
Auto6.4
Teleop4.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed