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Red130
239330.7
261446.5
32550.0
Blue83
821432.8
457634.2
915215.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13548010015020013083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#4
50.00.3
39.740.1
Auto14.6
Teleop28.4
End7.0
red by 15.8
4576
#12
34.22.4
22.725.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.6
End9.7
Second
2614
#16
46.50.4
46.747.0
Auto13.9
Teleop24.2
End8.4
red by 13.7
8214
#19
32.813.7
32.819.1
Auto6.8
Teleop19.7
End6.3
Third
2393
#17
30.70.3
29.029.3
Auto10.5
Teleop13.5
End6.7
red by 15.2
9152
#36
15.51.7
20.919.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned