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Qual 42023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red118
426548.3
264124.0
549230.3
Blue49
285619.0
751617.0
463019.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914902040608010012014011849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#8
48.31.8
35.9→37.8
Auto15.7
Teleop24.7
End7.9
red by 29.1
4630
#30
19.30.3
18.4→18.1
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End5.8
Second
5492
#20
30.32.2
25.6→27.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End5.0
red by 11.4
2856
#31
19.00.3
17.1→16.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.6
Third
2641
#26
24.01.8
18.9→20.8
Auto9.9
Teleop11.5
End2.6
red by 7.0
7516
#38
17.00.3
15.9→15.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed