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Qual 322023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red140
426548.3
239330.7
10842.2
Blue97
261446.5
146632.0
382129.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102100809011012013014014097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#8
48.32.6
40.6→43.2
Auto15.7
Teleop24.7
End7.9
red by 1.8
2614
#16
46.50.2
46.4→46.6
Auto13.9
Teleop24.2
End8.4
Second
108
#6
42.22.6
30.8→33.4
Auto11.0
Teleop23.7
End7.4
red by 10.2
1466
#3
32.00.4
21.5→21.8
Auto11.1
Teleop13.6
End7.3
Third
2393
#17
30.72.6
24.2→26.8
Auto10.5
Teleop13.5
End6.7
red by 1.6
3821
#33
29.10.4
25.9→26.3
Auto10.2
Teleop15.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned