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Qual 332023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red137
6334.6
173048.5
457634.2
Blue117
630216.7
32550.0
446227.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10887406080100120140160137117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#7
48.51.9
41.5→43.4
Auto11.5
Teleop29.3
End7.6
blue by 1.5
325
#4
50.01.5
42.9→44.4
Auto14.6
Teleop28.4
End7.0
Second
63
#21
34.61.9
30.9→32.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End7.5
red by 7.3
4462
#18
27.22.5
28.5→31.0
Auto10.5
Teleop10.8
End5.9
Third
4576
#12
34.23.2
26.1→29.3
Auto8.9
Teleop15.6
End9.7
red by 17.4
6302
#37
16.72.5
13.2→15.7
Auto1.1
Teleop11.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned