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Red65
402054.2
500516.6
463019.3
Blue80
752536.1
574419.2
915215.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9667204060801201406580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.21.4
51.349.9
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End10.0
red by 18.0
7525
#13
36.10.5
34.034.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End9.0
Second
4630
#30
19.32.3
19.317.0
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End5.8
red by 0.1
5744
#32
19.20.9
13.414.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End4.6
Third
5005
#35
16.62.3
15.513.1
Auto6.4
Teleop4.6
End5.6
red by 1.1
9152
#36
15.50.9
19.420.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned