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Red60
365323.7
450425.6
751617.0
Blue85
430619.4
884138.3
382422.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6283020401001201406085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4504
#22
25.60.0
24.024.0
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End4.5
blue by 12.7
8841
#11
38.30.7
39.540.2
Auto8.1
Teleop22.3
End8.0
Second
3653
#29
23.70.0
22.922.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.9
End8.1
red by 1.0
3824
#25
22.70.7
18.218.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End7.6
Third
7516
#38
17.00.1
13.713.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End5.5
blue by 2.4
4306
#28
19.41.1
17.018.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsMissed