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Qual 362023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red66
261446.5
396616.4
401319.2
Blue112
349234.5
314038.9
238343.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811185010015066112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#16
46.51.0
46.6→45.6
Auto13.9
Teleop24.2
End8.4
red by 3.1
2383
#10
43.40.4
39.2→39.6
Auto11.1
Teleop24.4
End7.9
Second
4013
#27
19.21.0
19.0→18.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.2
End6.8
blue by 19.7
3140
#5
38.90.4
31.8→32.2
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End8.9
Third
3966
#34
16.41.6
15.0→13.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.7
blue by 18.0
3492
#9
34.50.4
34.7→35.1
Auto12.0
Teleop15.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned