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Qual 82023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red70
261446.5
915215.5
285619.0
Blue94
549230.3
457634.2
80133.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89870501001507094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#16
46.51.0
47.0→46.1
Auto13.9
Teleop24.2
End8.4
red by 12.4
4576
#12
34.21.4
25.2→26.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.6
End9.7
Second
2856
#31
19.01.4
16.8→15.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.6
blue by 14.0
801
#15
33.00.9
28.6→29.5
Auto8.6
Teleop16.9
End7.4
Third
9152
#36
15.51.4
19.1→17.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End5.6
blue by 14.8
5492
#20
30.30.9
27.8→28.7
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned