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Qual 92023 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red48
751617.0
630216.7
426548.3
Blue90
398431.9
707217.8
382422.7
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757740506070901001101204890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#8
48.31.6
37.8→36.2
Auto15.7
Teleop24.7
End7.9
red by 16.4
3984
#14
31.90.2
29.7→29.5
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.2
Second
7516
#38
17.02.6
15.7→13.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End5.5
blue by 5.8
3824
#25DQ
22.70.2
17.5→17.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End7.6
Third
6302
#37
16.72.6
18.4→15.7
Auto1.1
Teleop11.2
End4.4
blue by 1.0
7072
#23
17.80.3
23.5→23.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned