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Red42
808422.9
601418.1
623217.7
Blue118
744439.6
602423.0
926428.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6585204010012014016042118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8084
#11
22.92.5
24.321.8
Auto7.7
Teleop12.5
End2.7
blue by 16.7
39.63.9
34.037.9
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End7.1
Second
18.11.8
19.517.8
Auto6.8
Teleop3.8
End7.5
blue by 10.3
9264
#20
28.43.9
22.926.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Third
6232
#29
17.72.5
19.517.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End5.3
blue by 5.3
6024
#25
23.02.7
20.323.0
Auto6.9
Teleop10.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsEarned