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Red72
902423.8
879511.7
923319.0
Blue88
720117.4
683840.1
909315.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5073204060801001201407288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.5
22.524.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End6.5
blue by 16.4
40.11.5
37.138.6
Auto10.4
Teleop21.9
End7.9
Second
19.01.6
17.619.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End7.8
red by 1.6
7201
#13
17.41.7
15.116.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End6.6
Third
8795
#43
11.71.6
10.111.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.7
End3.3
blue by 3.3
9093
#26
15.01.5
13.415.0
Auto5.5
Teleop4.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned