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Red40
801521.4
880010.8
923113.6
Blue33
824020.1
918512.9
924710.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49510204060801001204033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8015
#24
21.41.8
15.713.9
Auto6.1
Teleop10.5
End4.8
red by 1.4
8240
#30
20.11.6
15.413.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End5.0
Second
9231
#23
13.61.8
16.014.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End1.9
red by 0.7
9185
#37DQ
12.91.6
16.715.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.6
End5.8
Third
8800
#36
10.81.8
14.512.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End4.7
red by 0.6
9247
#22
10.21.6
15.714.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed