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Qual 162023 Istanbul Regional
Red121
923221.8
757621.6
850015.7
Blue66
602419.4
729210.4
907725.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5355010015020025012166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9232
#17
21.82.9
21.8→18.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.9
End4.8
blue by 3.9
9077
#7
25.70.1
16.7→16.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End9.8
Second
7576
#3
21.62.2
16.9→19.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.5
End8.0
red by 2.1
6024
#18
19.40.1
19.4→19.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.8
End4.4
Third
8500
#20
15.72.2
16.2→18.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End4.5
red by 5.3
7292
#45
10.40.1
15.4→15.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed