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Red33
565523.4
772912.3
643111.4
Blue57
923221.8
926514.2
923113.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3944203050603357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.5
18.918.5
Auto9.9
Teleop9.5
End4.0
red by 1.6
9232
#17
21.80.9
18.517.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.9
End4.8
Second
7729
#39
12.30.5
8.27.7
Auto1.4
Teleop7.1
End3.8
blue by 1.9
9265
#27
14.20.9
9.68.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End4.1
Third
6431
#41
11.40.5
10.09.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.1
End3.3
blue by 2.1
9231
#23
13.60.9
12.311.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed22%Activation oddsMissed