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Red52
824020.1
814618.0
880010.8
Blue7
90897.0
87548.7
82097.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44270206080100527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8240
#30
20.11.4
13.615.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End5.0
red by 11.4
8754
#43
8.72.3
9.57.2
Auto0.7
Teleop3.8
End4.2
Second
8146
#32
18.01.4
15.817.2
Auto6.1
Teleop6.5
End5.5
red by 10.5
8209
#48
7.52.3
9.87.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop4.2
End3.7
Third
8800
#36
10.81.4
10.111.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End4.7
red by 3.8
9089
#47
7.02.3
8.36.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed16%Activation oddsMissed