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Red62
907725.7
926514.2
879619.8
Blue33
880010.8
729210.4
774213.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503702060801006233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.71.7
18.820.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End9.8
red by 12.0
7742
#33
13.70.4
14.313.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End4.3
Second
8796
#11
19.81.7
15.517.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End6.5
red by 9.0
8800
#36
10.80.4
12.412.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End4.7
Third
9265
#27
14.21.7
11.313.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End4.1
red by 3.8
7292
#45
10.40.4
9.89.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed7%Activation oddsMissed