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Red60
757621.6
814618.0
698914.5
Blue70
565523.4
886217.8
643011.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51450204060801006070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.4
19.721.0
Auto6.0
Teleop7.5
End8.0
blue by 1.8
23.41.3
21.222.5
Auto9.9
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Second
8146
#32
18.01.4
15.516.9
Auto6.1
Teleop6.5
End5.5
red by 0.2
8862
#14
17.81.3
13.314.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End3.2
Third
6989
#26
14.51.5
11.813.2
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End6.5
red by 2.8
6430
#35
11.61.3
8.39.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed