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Red145
643628.1
728544.5
824020.1
Blue72
817323.2
886217.8
923221.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10752015014572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.3
44.945.2
Auto15.4
Teleop22.6
End6.4
red by 21.3
8173
#15
23.20.5
20.821.2
Auto9.9
Teleop5.8
End7.5
Second
28.10.3
28.428.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.7
End8.3
red by 6.3
9232
#17
21.80.5
19.319.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.9
End4.8
Third
8240
#30
20.10.3
20.420.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End5.0
red by 2.3
8862
#14
17.80.5
15.315.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End3.2