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Red63
807920.0
565523.4
641512.9
Blue87
801521.4
907725.7
774822.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60625070806387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.3
23.623.4
Auto9.9
Teleop9.5
End4.0
blue by 2.3
25.70.9
21.622.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End9.8
Second
20.00.3
20.219.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End8.8
blue by 2.9
7748
#13
22.90.9
18.819.6
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.9
Third
6415
#16
12.90.3
13.112.8
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End4.6
blue by 8.6
8015
#24
21.40.9
17.318.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.5
End4.8