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Red77
817323.2
886217.8
923221.8
Blue68
807920.0
565523.4
641512.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616050556570757768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8173
#15
23.20.6
21.221.8
Auto9.9
Teleop5.8
End7.5
blue by 0.2
23.40.1
23.423.4
Auto9.9
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Second
9232
#17
21.80.6
19.820.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.9
End4.8
red by 1.8
20.00.1
19.920.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End8.8
Third
8862
#14
17.80.6
15.816.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End3.2
red by 4.9
6415
#16
12.90.1
12.812.9
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End4.6