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Red36
912417.5
729210.4
643111.4
Blue87
879619.8
694023.2
923113.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4059020801001201403687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.3
17.817.5
Auto5.8
Teleop3.8
End7.9
blue by 5.7
23.20.7
21.922.7
Auto7.2
Teleop8.8
End7.1
Second
6431
#41
11.40.3
11.711.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.1
End3.3
blue by 8.4
8796
#11
19.80.7
18.519.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End6.5
Third
7292
#45
10.40.3
10.710.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End4.2
blue by 3.2
9231
#23
13.60.7
12.313.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End1.9