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Red148
676816.0
14857.9
331060.3
Blue158
174549.6
367621.2
420649.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512250100200148158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.30.3
59.960.2
Auto14.0
Teleop37.8
End8.4
red by 10.6
49.60.4
48.949.2
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End10.1
Second
148
#2
57.90.3
57.557.9
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End10.1
red by 9.0
49.00.4
48.248.5
Auto12.7
Teleop29.8
End6.5
Third
6768
#18
16.00.3
15.616.0
Auto7.3
Teleop3.8
End4.8
blue by 5.3
3676
#33
21.20.4
20.420.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.3