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Red0
913630.1
14857.9
331060.3
Blue166
174549.6
367621.2
420649.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1641210501001502000166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#1DQ
60.30.1
60.260.3
Auto14.0
Teleop37.8
End8.4
red by 10.6
49.60.4
49.249.6
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End10.1
Second
148
#2DQ
57.90.1
57.957.9
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End10.1
red by 9.0
49.00.4
48.549.0
Auto12.7
Teleop29.8
End6.5
Third
9136
#20DQ
30.10.1
30.130.1
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End7.0
red by 8.9
3676
#33
21.20.4
20.821.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.3