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Red150
471716.5
14857.9
71259.2
Blue92
617118.1
420649.0
697418.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7184020406010012014015092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
57.91.1
46.647.6
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End10.1
red by 9.0
49.01.0
40.341.2
Auto12.7
Teleop29.8
End6.5
Second
4717
#36
16.51.1
13.714.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End6.4
blue by 2.4
6974
#37
18.91.0
19.220.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.7
End2.8
Third
7125
#30
9.21.1
7.78.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.6
End-0.5
blue by 8.9
6171
#10
18.11.0
18.019.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
15%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned