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Red85
727118.7
331060.3
712122.2
Blue103
415336.2
77509.8
541146.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93732040608010012014016085103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.30.3
50.850.4
Auto14.0
Teleop37.8
End8.4
red by 13.8
46.51.0
31.232.2
Auto11.1
Teleop25.4
End10.0
Second
7121
#29
22.20.3
20.119.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End7.0
blue by 13.9
36.21.0
26.827.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End7.4
Third
7271
#32
18.70.3
13.913.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End6.2
red by 8.8
7750
#35
9.81.7
13.114.8
Auto4.8
Teleop2.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned