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Red129
174549.6
541146.5
636938.1
Blue132
331060.3
910540.1
676816.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011680100140160180129132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.6
46.647.2
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End10.1
blue by 10.6
60.31.4
57.558.9
Auto14.0
Teleop37.8
End8.4
Second
46.50.6
38.839.4
Auto11.1
Teleop25.4
End10.0
red by 6.4
40.11.4
39.340.7
Auto12.2
Teleop20.9
End7.0
Third
38.10.6
34.535.1
Auto10.1
Teleop20.6
End7.4
red by 22.1
6768
#18
16.01.4
14.115.5
Auto7.3
Teleop3.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned