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Red76
753419.6
473425.6
832514.4
Blue117
14857.9
913630.1
521223.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5210802040608010012014016076117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4734
#21
25.60.5
23.323.9
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End6.7
blue by 32.3
148
#2
57.91.5
53.655.1
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End10.1
Second
7534
#22
19.60.5
19.420.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End5.0
blue by 10.5
9136
#20
30.11.5
26.928.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End7.0
Third
8325
#38
14.40.8
13.113.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
blue by 9.4
5212
#19
23.81.5
13.615.1
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned