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Red145
420649.0
367621.2
174549.6
Blue53
406339.6
887421.4
415336.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123104608014016018014553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.3
47.447.7
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End10.1
red by 10.1
4063
#15
39.61.1
40.639.6
Auto7.2
Teleop23.3
End9.1
Second
49.00.3
46.747.0
Auto12.7
Teleop29.8
End6.5
red by 12.8
36.21.1
37.236.2
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End7.4
Third
3676
#33
21.20.3
19.019.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.3
blue by 0.1
8874
#14
21.41.1
22.421.4
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End5.9