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Red133
586625.1
284836.8
636938.1
Blue129
541146.5
541737.8
561325.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021196080140160180133129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.6
37.538.0
Auto10.1
Teleop20.6
End7.4
blue by 8.4
46.50.2
46.346.5
Auto11.1
Teleop25.4
End10.0
Second
36.80.6
36.236.7
Auto11.2
Teleop20.2
End5.4
blue by 1.0
5417
#12
37.80.2
37.637.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End6.4
Third
5866
#26
25.10.6
24.525.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.6
End8.7
blue by 0.7
5613
#16
25.80.2
25.625.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End5.9