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Red56
436419.8
589234.5
459715.8
Blue40
541438.7
903417.9
752115.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52710204060801001205640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.5
22.022.6
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End7.6
blue by 4.1
38.72.7
27.024.3
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End6.8
Second
4364
#11
19.80.5
17.317.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End4.8
red by 1.9
9034
#29
17.91.6
17.515.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.3
Third
4597
#17
15.80.5
12.012.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.8
red by 0.5
7521
#26
15.32.7
19.616.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsMissed