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Red59
550321.7
589418.7
367929.8
Blue54
808828.4
850714.4
510320.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6261405070805954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.1
18.718.8
Auto9.9
Teleop9.0
End10.9
red by 1.3
8088
#12
28.40.2
26.826.6
Auto10.1
Teleop12.8
End5.4
Second
21.70.1
21.621.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End9.3
red by 1.5
5103
#22
20.20.4
17.517.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.0
End6.3
Third
5894
#18
18.70.1
17.717.8
Auto2.0
Teleop9.5
End7.2
red by 4.3
8507
#20
14.40.4
13.212.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed