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Red28
27899.8
861014.1
903417.9
Blue32
433211.3
374313.6
510320.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444602060801002832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9034
#29
17.90.9
16.015.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.3
blue by 2.3
5103
#22
20.21.0
19.918.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.0
End6.3
Second
8610
#16
14.11.1
15.114.0
Auto0.7
Teleop7.0
End6.3
red by 0.4
3743
#23
13.60.8
11.510.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.6
End6.4
Third
2789
#35
9.80.9
10.79.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End4.8
blue by 1.4
4332
#27
11.30.9
11.810.9
Auto0.5
Teleop6.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsMissed