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Red80
459715.8
589418.7
914026.3
Blue65
811422.0
713812.3
752115.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6338020801001208065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.31.8
25.126.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.4
End7.6
red by 4.4
8114
#36
22.01.9
18.720.6
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End5.7
Second
5894
#18
18.72.1
17.219.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.5
End7.2
red by 3.3
7521
#26
15.32.1
11.914.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End5.4
Third
4597
#17
15.82.0
13.615.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.8
red by 3.6
7138
#32
12.32.1
8.510.6
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned10%Activation oddsEarned