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Red50
356118.2
436419.8
850714.4
Blue56
931114.1
27899.8
861014.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5938020801001205056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4364
#11
19.80.1
19.919.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End4.8
red by 5.8
14.10.1
14.114.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End6.5
Second
3561
#10
18.20.1
18.218.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End6.9
red by 4.1
8610
#16
14.10.1
14.114.2
Auto0.7
Teleop7.0
End6.3
Third
8507
#20
14.40.1
14.414.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End6.6
red by 4.5
2789
#35
9.80.1
9.910.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End4.8