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Red111
374313.6
380236.5
541438.7
Blue77
914026.3
808828.4
589418.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9379406010012014011177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.5
37.638.1
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End6.8
red by 10.2
8088
#12
28.40.0
29.229.2
Auto10.1
Teleop12.8
End5.4
Second
36.50.5
35.435.8
Auto14.0
Teleop13.8
End8.7
red by 10.1
26.30.0
27.127.1
Auto6.3
Teleop12.4
End7.6
Third
3743
#23
13.60.5
12.512.9
Auto1.6
Teleop5.6
End6.4
blue by 5.0
5894
#18
18.70.0
19.519.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.5
End7.2