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Red112
592321.5
11851.0
857628.8
Blue107
908110.0
542746.2
303537.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98804060120140160180112107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
51.01.8
46.948.8
Auto16.6
Teleop25.5
End8.7
red by 4.8
46.22.5
36.238.7
Auto12.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Second
28.81.8
25.026.8
Auto9.5
Teleop12.8
End6.5
blue by 8.8
37.61.6
29.531.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End8.6
Third
5923
#16
21.51.8
17.519.3
Auto6.1
Teleop13.0
End2.1
red by 11.5
9081
#36
10.02.5
11.914.4
Auto0.1
Teleop5.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned