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Red57
875010.4
851516.6
711514.5
Blue44
741817.8
749215.1
918112.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3957020801005744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8515
#28
16.61.9
13.815.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 1.2
7418
#27
17.80.8
17.216.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.2
End6.6
Second
7115
#15
14.51.9
13.215.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.8
blue by 0.6
7492
#31
15.10.8
18.918.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End4.8
Third
8750
#30
10.41.9
12.013.9
Auto0.8
Teleop6.6
End3.0
blue by 2.0
9181
#25
12.40.8
15.114.4
Auto1.1
Teleop6.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsMissed