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Red80
648818.3
837022.9
857317.8
Blue28
761621.9
928911.2
930712.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52500204060801008028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8370
#26
22.92.5
19.522.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End5.7
red by 1.0
21.91.7
23.621.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End8.0
Second
6488
#24
18.32.5
17.019.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End7.5
red by 6.3
9307
#34
12.11.7
11.810.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End3.3
Third
8573
#21
17.82.8
12.415.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End5.5
red by 6.7
9289
#33
11.21.3
11.410.2
Auto0.9
Teleop6.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed