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Red85
542746.2
741817.8
851516.6
Blue95
288216.7
11851.0
458718.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8292501001508595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.5
45.045.5
Auto12.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
blue by 4.8
118
#1
51.00.4
49.950.3
Auto16.6
Teleop25.5
End8.7
Second
7418
#27
17.80.5
17.317.8
Auto6.0
Teleop5.2
End6.6
blue by 1.1
4587
#14
18.90.4
18.518.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Third
8515
#28
16.60.5
16.116.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 0.1
2882
#11
16.70.4
16.516.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned