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Red83
928911.2
711514.5
817729.4
Blue40
859111.2
429520.9
648818.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5355203040506070808340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8177
#13
29.41.1
27.628.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.3
End6.4
red by 8.5
20.91.0
21.620.5
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End6.9
Second
7115
#15
14.51.1
13.214.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.8
blue by 3.9
6488
#24
18.31.2
19.518.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End7.5
Third
9289
#33
11.21.0
10.211.2
Auto0.9
Teleop6.2
End4.1
Level
8591
#35
11.21.2
9.58.3
Auto0.9
Teleop4.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsMissed