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Red85
930712.1
857628.8
857317.8
Blue84
582928.7
592321.5
749215.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53710204060801001201408584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.7
26.428.1
Auto9.5
Teleop12.8
End6.5
red by 0.1
28.70.4
29.029.4
Auto11.6
Teleop10.2
End6.9
Second
8573
#21
17.81.9
15.217.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End5.5
blue by 3.7
5923
#16
21.50.4
20.621.0
Auto6.1
Teleop13.0
End2.1
Third
9307
#34
12.11.9
10.212.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End3.3
blue by 3.1
7492
#31
15.10.4
14.414.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsEarned20%Activation oddsEarned