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Red118
458723.9
32443.8
288219.4
Blue70
23135.8
542736.8
41829.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910705015020011870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#2
43.82.7
41.043.7
Auto9.2
Teleop27.1
End7.6
red by 7.0
5427
#25
36.81.8
40.538.7
Auto9.7
Teleop21.5
End5.5
Second
4587
#14
23.92.7
19.722.4
Auto8.9
Teleop9.7
End5.3
blue by 11.8
231
#6
35.81.8
29.828.0
Auto11.4
Teleop16.0
End8.4
Third
2882
#15
19.42.7
17.119.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End7.2
blue by 9.7
418
#11
29.11.8
26.825.0
Auto13.3
Teleop8.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned