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Red45
568214.8
59088.5
296626.8
Blue84
887930.7
373519.8
859820.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436602060801001204584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2966
#28
26.80.2
18.618.8
Auto10.9
Teleop10.5
End5.4
blue by 3.9
30.71.6
25.627.2
Auto10.6
Teleop12.9
End7.1
Second
5682
#29
14.80.1
14.414.5
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End3.8
blue by 5.8
8598
#31
20.61.6
16.418.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End7.0
Third
5908
#34
8.50.1
10.510.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 11.4
3735
#26
19.81.6
17.419.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsEarned