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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12398050150200250116106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.4
36.836.4
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End7.2
red by 2.3
4063
#29
42.90.4
39.640.0
Auto10.4
Teleop24.7
End7.6
Second
5892
#11
43.70.4
46.345.9
Auto11.5
Teleop24.2
End8.0
red by 5.1
3679
#22
38.50.4
35.936.3
Auto10.7
Teleop18.1
End9.8
Third
9156
#26
32.50.4
29.429.0
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End6.7
red by 4.3
2882
#35
28.20.4
19.419.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned