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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211640608010014016018081117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4219
#20
38.20.5
31.731.2
Auto11.2
Teleop18.3
End8.7
blue by 11.1
324
#19
49.30.8
43.844.6
Auto10.9
Teleop30.1
End8.2
Second
2689
#21
36.80.5
35.635.0
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
blue by 4.2
5427
#13
41.00.8
36.837.6
Auto11.5
Teleop21.9
End7.3
Third
9181
#40
21.00.5
21.821.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.7
blue by 7.6
9054
#34
28.50.8
25.025.7
Auto9.1
Teleop11.5
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned