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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15511950100200250145125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.80.3
61.762.0
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
blue by 0.1
65.90.4
60.760.2
Auto14.5
Teleop42.3
End8.4
Second
53.30.3
42.943.2
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
red by 19.3
7540
#32
34.10.4
28.327.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Third
3802
#23
41.20.3
36.536.7
Auto12.7
Teleop20.6
End7.9
red by 18.2
9080
#38
23.00.4
27.226.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned43%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned